NerdAlert Weather for Pequea Valley

Roads are looking great.  Wet snow means no drifting. High sun and warm roads means it won’t be sticking.  Therefore, even though we “Closed” today, I’m thinking NO DELAY TOMORROW. Regarding today, I stuck with my "two-hour delay" prediction, thinking the storm would not give us the hyped amounts of snow.  We probably went to FID because we were prepared for it and it was still snowing a little in the morning.  What snow amounts did you get?

This one’s a little tricky, as are all the days where wind chills are the only major factor. These wind chills are colder than the January 20th delay by 10˚.  We have a Cold Weather Advisory in effect from 1am to 10am on Thursday, calling for wind chills as low as 15 below zero.  As much as I would love to have a normal day and end to the school week, I think the wind chills are going to cause delays.   Therefore I predict a 2-hour delay on Thursday.

 Welp! We got the 2 snow days!!! The roads look pretty ok right now, which made me think that MAYBE we wouldn't need a delay Wednesday.  However there is a Cold Weather Advisory for Wednesday morning calling for cold wind chills 10 to 15 below zero.  We've delayed for this in the past, and it's right after a snow day.  Hence, I believe we will have a 2-hour delay tomorrow.  Stay tuned for possible delays due to the cold, as Thursday and Friday like they have similar or colder "feels like" temperatures. 

Current Record: 4-2 Prediction:   LOTS to think about here, but there are some obvious answers.  Main (preliminary) prediction is: Monday: No School Tuesday: No School Wednesday: at least a 2-hour delay, betting on Delay Thursday: Maybe a delay, but betting No Delay Friday: Back to normal Why?  Well…It’s really looking like we’ll get about 12 inches of snow, and back in 2017 we had a similar storm and had 2 closings and a delay.  People will need time to dig out of a foot of snow. 2 days of plowing should be enough time to get it all cleared, but we typically have a delay after a closing, and it will be pretty cold. But what would change this outcome?  Many factors: Drifting snow:  This system will produce a lighter/fluffier snow for most areas, with a transition to heavier snow consistency and increasing wind Sunday afternoon onward.  This means winds will continue to drift the snow across the roads by farm fields for a couple days, though it’s b...

 Current Record: 3-2 Prediction:  Well, that caught me by surprise!  We’ve never had a delay due to temperatures (even realfeels) above 0˚. In the past, it’s been -20 wind chill would close, -15 would delay.  We got down to about 9˚ with a realfeel of 0˚ish.  Tomorrow morning will be 8˚ with a realfeel of 2˚.   Now, if we’re assuming consistency, we will also have a delay tomorrow (though drifting snow will definitely NOT be an issue) If we’re going with the argument from “Come ooooooonnnnnn” ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ , then I think we’ll have regular school tomorrow.  So, while I usually avoid the logical fallacy of “Oh, come ooooooon”, I’m going with NO DELAY TOMORROW. We all know how cold it is, roads will be fine, and we’re not coming back from a 4 day weekend anymore.  Still only 50/50 odds though. 

Prediction:  I’m going to bet on NO DELAY tomorrow.  As of now, nobody is calling for even 1 inch, the temperatures are hovering around freezing, and the roads can be salted.  3:1 odds.  Still a possibility of enough snow for a delay.  That would be disappointing though, since the early dismissal would turn into a regular dismissal time day (with a delay). Fingers crossed.