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For 2/6/25

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Current Record: 5-1 Prediction:  After that surprise delay on Monday, we’re back at it!   Yeah, we’re all thinking/hoping for a delay for Thursday, but I’m predicting a CLOSING on Thursday.  It’d be super cool (HA!) if the freezing rain stops by 9 or 10am, as predicted, but that won’t be enough time to actually clear the roads, especially after seeing up to 1” of sleet is possible in some areas.  I think in order for us to have just a delay, the storm will need to underperform and just rain starting at 7am, clearing the roads in an obvious way such that the back roads would be “fine”, which feels very unlikely. Here's some of the data I'm working with:
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Update to Week of 2/10/25

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 Current Record: 6-1 Prediction:  Welp, things have settled in a bit since yesterday, and I’ve got news that’s probably disappointing to some: Tuesday’s prediction remains the same: Tuesday : Normal day (it’s starting too late to guarantee an early dismissal, and would just be snow) Wednesday’s prediction changes… Wednesday : Just a delay .  1-3 inches overnight is a pretty standard case for a delay. Not guaranteed, but real good.  Typically at least an inch will grant us a delay.  The…unfortunate?...part is that what I was seeing yesterday with additional snow/freezing rain during the day on Wed just isn’t showing up anymore, so I think we’ll be in the clear to come in 2 hours late.  Thursday’s prediction changes as well… Thursday : NO delay .  It’s still possible, given the precipitation overnight and analysis from yesterday (The wintry precipitation will be done, however, regular rain won’t just wash away ice, sleet, and snow, especially in sub-fre...
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For 12/2/25, Tuesday after Thanksgiving

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Current Record: 0-0 Prediction:  I was thinking CLOSING for a couple of days now, given that it was meant to be substantial snow fall (2 or 3 inches) and would continue snowing past noon, during the morning commute.  However, the predictions have been trending lower.  I guarantee at LEAST a delay.  They might even call a delay tonight.  It’ll likely be gameday decision tomorrow morning, but I think I’m leaning on CLOSING tomorrow being more likely.  Why?  Timing is bad.  Temperatures will be low.  We should consider our staff come from all over the county.  Freezing Rain is being thrown around in some forecasts.  I wouldn’t be surprised if people in the valley end up thinking, “we could have gone in”, but I think the roads north of us and in the mountains will make a good case for the closing.   Final Prediction: Closed Schools Tuesday, but don't turn off your alarms altogether.  Here's the background research: Winter...
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