3/20/15

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No early dismissal - not sticking to the roads, and it'll get harder as we go to stick

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For 2/6/25

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Current Record: 5-1 Prediction:  After that surprise delay on Monday, we’re back at it!   Yeah, we’re all thinking/hoping for a delay for Thursday, but I’m predicting a CLOSING on Thursday.  It’d be super cool (HA!) if the freezing rain stops by 9 or 10am, as predicted, but that won’t be enough time to actually clear the roads, especially after seeing up to 1” of sleet is possible in some areas.  I think in order for us to have just a delay, the storm will need to underperform and just rain starting at 7am, clearing the roads in an obvious way such that the back roads would be “fine”, which feels very unlikely. Here's some of the data I'm working with:
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For 1/21/25

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Current Record: 1-0 Prediction: Alrighty y’all…I’m VERY certain we’ll have a delay tomorrow, as there are two factors that independently would likely get us a delay.        1) Cold Weather advisory – in the past, superintendents have gotten together and agreed that a Wind Chill advisory means no closing (but probably a delay), but they would close on a Watch or Warning.  This is a cold weather advisory, which is slightly different, but…       2) It is too darn cold out there for the roads to significantly clear out.  Travel will be difficult tomorrow morning since the back roads that aren’t as traveled and likely in shaded areas and drifted areas will not melt away.  I SUPPOSE we could be closed tomorrow, but…just doesn’t feel right.  Now…Wednesday delay?  That’s a little iffy.  Another day will have passed to clear the roads. And typically we don’t have two delays in a row without more snow.  The cold wea...
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Update to Week of 2/10/25

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 Current Record: 6-1 Prediction:  Welp, things have settled in a bit since yesterday, and I’ve got news that’s probably disappointing to some: Tuesday’s prediction remains the same: Tuesday : Normal day (it’s starting too late to guarantee an early dismissal, and would just be snow) Wednesday’s prediction changes… Wednesday : Just a delay .  1-3 inches overnight is a pretty standard case for a delay. Not guaranteed, but real good.  Typically at least an inch will grant us a delay.  The…unfortunate?...part is that what I was seeing yesterday with additional snow/freezing rain during the day on Wed just isn’t showing up anymore, so I think we’ll be in the clear to come in 2 hours late.  Thursday’s prediction changes as well… Thursday : NO delay .  It’s still possible, given the precipitation overnight and analysis from yesterday (The wintry precipitation will be done, however, regular rain won’t just wash away ice, sleet, and snow, especially in sub-fre...
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