Tuesday, January 16, 2018

1-3"

Very, very certain we’ll have a delay.  1-3” is a good delay snow.  They’ll likely even call that tonight.  If the snow stops or is only very light by 7am, we’ll be fine and go in.  But, if the snow is steady and continuing, there’s a good chance we could close. All in all, I predict DELAY TOMORROW.

Monday, January 8, 2018

Dismissal & Delay

So I was just lazy/indecisive and didn't call for the early dismissal.  That was silly and bumped me down to 3-2 (2nd loss was that I predicted delay on Friday, but they cancelled).

Now I deem it more likely that they'll delay tomorrow, just because the roads are indeed very icy.  The trucks do have plenty of time to salt, but....it's REALLY cold out there, so I don't know how effective the salt will really be, especially on the back roads that don't get traveled.

So....DELAY TOMORROW. 60-40 chance

Thursday, January 4, 2018

Post Cyclone Delay

Why a delay?
  1. We usually delay after a closing
  2. Wind Chills are as low as -15 Fri morning
  3. Blowing snow due to light snow will be all over the back roads
While none of these by themselves would necessarily delay us, the confluence of the three, in my opinion, will.

Currently 3-0.

Wednesday, January 3, 2018

Bomb Cyclone


This is a really tough one to predict, only given the fact that there is a sharp gradient in the snow totals and significant uncertainty in the storm. So here’s my real prediction.  They’re going to wait until morning to call it.  They have to see, given 50-70% chance, whether there’s a lot of snow or not. My guess is they’ll see an inch or more of snow, see that it will continue until about noon, and decide to keep everyone home.  I am not VERY confident in this prediction, as it will be a hairline decision based on snowfall, this seems the most likely scenario.  Officially the prediction is: SCHOOL CANCELLED TOMORROW. But don’t bank on it. (Side note: likely a delay Friday due to snow, high winds, and low wind chills.)

Wednesday, December 13, 2017

1-3 inches?

Not enough of a guarantee of snow, most sources are calling for 60% chance of less than an inch.  I’ll bet NO DELAY TOMORROW, but you are more than welcome to keep your hopes up as it is still possible, if unlikely.

Thursday, March 16, 2017

A second 2-hour delay?

I hear speculation that we may get another 2-hour delay tomorrow.  While I think it's certainly understandable and possible, given the condition of the roads this morning, I also consider the winds tonight won't even be half as strong, and I suspect MOST of the blowable snow will have been blown already, hence I predict NO 2-HOUR DELAY TOMORROW. But still be vigilant on the roads.  They will not be completely ok. 50-50 chance here.

Monday, March 13, 2017

About a foot?

Looking around, there are a LOT of forecasts calling for more than a foot, but I'm thinking we'll get around a foot.  Without digging around too much (too busy migrating docs, YouTube, sites, and Blogger), I'm going to predict NO SCHOOL TUESDAY, NO SCHOOL WEDNESDAY, DELAY THURSDAY.  I'm locked into Tuesday, and will change Wednesday's only if we have a super bust of this storm.