NerdAlert Weather for Pequea Valley

I’ll stick with yesterday’s prediction of no changes in school schedules …the predictions are varying quite widely from just rain to up to 5” of snow.   I’m looking again at the temperature not dropping below freezing as well as the less than 100% chance of precipitation and saying that the roads will be fine for the duration of the day, especially when treated.   There’s still a chance of an early dismissal if the storm really comes at us, but I’m not expecting it.

With temperatures above freezing and lower likelihoods of precipitation, I’m calling No delays or cancellations on neither Tuesday nor Wednesday . I might stop back tomorrow with a new prediction for Wednesday, but we'll see.

This one it’s all about the timing. Most predictions are giving us enough snow to cancel school if the snow is falling throughout the school day, but some begin Tuesday night while others don’t start until 10am on Wednesday, giving us enough time to get students into school and dismiss early.   The call will likely be made in the morning: if they see snow, we’ll close; if no snow, we’ll come in. Temperatures will be warmer, so the roads should be fine if it’s not falling too fast.   Overall, I’m looking at a 50/50 shot between school cancellation and an early dismissal.   Given multiple scenarios, I’m going to predict that Pequea Valley will cancel school tomorrow early in the morning in an abundance of caution, though they may not need to (I’ve switched 4 times since I started writing this).   I’d rather call for an early dismissal, but I only see that happening if the storm COMPLETELY weakens and comes late, with nothing on the ground come ...

There's no such thing as a jinx, so I'm comfortable saying it... Here's a summary of the 2013-2014 Winter Weather (in Pequea Valley) Winter 2013-2014 Delays: 6             Closings: 6 (5 for snow, 1 for Wind Chill)             Early Dismissals: 0 (1 for rain in October, ignored for record)             Chances: 26             My record: 18-8 I'll take it!   A 69% success rate in predicting uncertain human behaviors in response to fairly (un)predictable weather predictions works for me.  This is by far the most chances (the second highest was 09-10 where we had 19 chances).  It was the first winter where Wind Chill was a consideration.  We also had the most closings in the past 5 years, after two years without a...

No delays or cancellations or dismissals on Tuesday or Wednesday.   It looks like it may or may not snow, but it probably won’t stick even if it does.

Looking at the timing of the storm and the (relative) consistency in predictions, I’m pretty confident in predicting SCHOOL CANCELLED MONDAY .   That’s what will indeed happen if today’s predictions hold true through the weekend.   It’s looking like we’ll get about 6” of snow, with some sleet/rain mixed in.   I will still allow myself the normal ability to make a last prediction late Saturday/Early Sunday.   I will also predict for Tuesday at that point.

I predict NO DELAYS, CLOSINGS, OR DISMISSALS THIS WEEK.